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Woolly worm, NOAA disagree on this winter's forecast


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This winter will be harsh according to University of Tennessee Agriculture Extension Agent Dwayne Trail. He announced his prediction to WGNS Thursday, but it wasn’t based on science: It was based on insects.

Trail studies the banded woolly bear caterpillar, or woolly worm as it’s more commonly known, for the fur-like bristles that cover its body, which is said to be able to predict how severe winter weather will be.

Folklore states that a heavy and dark coat on a woolly worm means a colder winter is coming.

“This year, no doubt, woolly worms have had heavier hair coats than what is normal,” Trail said.

On the other hand, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says that because of La Niña, this winter will have intense weather, but it won’t be very cold.

La Niña is a phenomenon that involves temperature in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean lowering, which then effects weather all over the world. It’s expected to make Tennessee much warmer and stormier than usual this year.

 
 
 
Tagged under  Dwayne Trail, Weather


Member Opinions:
By: cmac on 11/1/10
Two woolly worms crossed the road in front of me the other day. One was brown and the other was black. So, it looks like there is a 50:50 chance that the winter will be cold or warm (according to the worms). But, I noticed that the dirt dobber nests were being built high on the wall this summer. Somehow the dirt dobbers have figured out there will be deep snow this winter. The dirt dobbers seem to agree with the black woolly worms on bad winter weather. On the other hand, the corn I picked out of the garden not long ago had thin husks which goes along with the brown woolly worms on a warm winter. It seems the worms, insects and corn can't get together on the coming winter. We also didn't have any fog in August and no frost in September. I could go along with NOAA this year. They usually get it right about 50% of the time. Or, perhaps, I'll just use my standard scientific weather forcaster. Heads, cold - Tails, warm. Thats also about 50:50.


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